Royals Review
Game 6 (3/10) - Lineup (Aviles Returns)
RoyalsReview
KC Sports Blogs - Royals Review
Written by Royals Review   
Wednesday, March 10, 2010 6:00am

Game 6 (3/10) - Lineup (Aviles Returns)

2:10 start in Tuscon vs. Rockies (probable Olivo sighting). 1. CF - B. Anderson; 2. 2B - Aviles(!); 3. 3B - Callaspo; 4. 1B- Butler; 5. C - Pena; 6. LF - Maier; 7. SS - Falu; 8. RF - Parraz; 9. P - Greinke




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Royals UZR/150 Projections for the 2010 Season
RoyalsReview
KC Sports Blogs - Royals Review
Written by Royals Review   
Tuesday, March 9, 2010 6:58pm
Kansas City Royals' Brian Anderson jumps for a double hit by Jonny Gomez in the fourth inning of a spring training baseball game Monday, March 8, 2010, in Goodyear, Ariz. The Reds won 14-5. (AP Photo/Tony Dejak)

More photos » Tony Dejak - AP

1 day ago: Kansas City Royals' Brian Anderson jumps for a double hit by Jonny Gomez in the fourth inning of a spring training baseball game Monday, March 8, 2010, in Goodyear, Ariz. The Reds won 14-5. (AP Photo/Tony Dejak)

Browse more photos »

Earlier this year I released my own set of UZR/150 projections.  Now that the Royals have finally set on the basics of a roster, let's look at how the players project to do defensively this season.  Here is a list of how each player projects to do at each position they have played previously over the last 4 years (link to a primer article on UZR):

royals-review

Name Position Games at Position (last 4 years) UZR/150
Alex Gordon 1B 32 1
Billy Butler 1B 192 -4




Willie Bloomquist 2B 56 -2
Alberto Callaspo 2B 205 -3
Chris Getz 2B 113 -4




Mike Aviles SS 125 6
Alberto Callaspo SS 32 1
Willie Bloomquist SS 87 -4
Yuniesky Betancourt SS 595 -10




Alberto Callaspo 3B 35 2
Alex Gordon 3B 319 -1
Mike Aviles 3B 9 -2
Josh Fields 3B 146 -8




David DeJesus LF 283 11
Rick Ankiel LF 44 3
Willie Bloomquist LF 33 2
Scott Podsednik LF 277 -2
Josh Fields LF 22 -2
Billy Butler LF 6 -2
Alberto Callaspo LF 6 -3
Jose Guillen LF 49 -5




Brian Anderson CF 298 0
David DeJesus CF 288 0
Scott Podsednik CF 88 -3
Rick Ankiel CF 177 -5
Willie Bloomquist CF 100 -5




Willie Bloomquist RF 90 -1
David DeJesus RF 26 -3
Jose Guillen RF 350 -11

Using the lineup of:  Butler (1B), Callaspo (2B), Betancout (SS), Gordon (3B), Ankiel (RF), Podsednik (CF) and DeJesus (LF) here is the projected defense:


With Gordon out and Callaspo going to 3rd and Getz to 2B, looks like the defensive may improve.  I might do more of these graphs depending on what kind of lineup Hillman and Moore continue to think up.




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Game 5 Overflow Thread
RoyalsReview
KC Sports Blogs - Royals Review
Written by Royals Review   
Tuesday, March 9, 2010 10:17am

Game 5 Overflow Thread

For those of you scoring at home... give up.




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Game 5 (3/9) Open Thread - Lineups and Weather
RoyalsReview
KC Sports Blogs - Royals Review
Written by Royals Review   
Tuesday, March 9, 2010 7:16am

Game 5 (3/9) Open Thread - Lineups and Weather

It's breezy and chilly in Surprise - 55 degrees with scattered showers. Here's your Kansas City lineup: 1 - Podsednik - LF 2 - Callaspo - 3B 3 - DeJesus - DH 4 - Butler - 1B 5 - Ankiel - CF 6 - Guillen - RF 7 - Kendall - C 8 - Betancourt - SS 9 - Getz 2B P - Tejeda (UPDATE - 12:55 Central - the tarp is on the field in Surprise - stay tuned)




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Baseball Prospectus Ranks Royal Farm System 10th Best in Baseball, 3rd Best in AL Central
RoyalsReview
KC Sports Blogs - Royals Review
Written by Royals Review   
Tuesday, March 9, 2010 6:15am

Good news/bad news.

The full organizational rankings from Kevin Goldstein at Baseball Prospectus are out today, and our Royals check in at number 10. When we talked about the state of the system awhile back, some speculated that the Royals might snag a high rating from BP/Goldstein, who was pretty high on the system in his early evaluations.

That didn't quite happen. However, 10th isn't a horrible ranking either.

10. Kansas City Royals
Last Year’s Ranking: 16
Why They Are Here: Because they know how to draft, at least after the first round. Some might even classify them as trailblazers when it comes to small-market teams spending big money in the later rounds, as it's still the best bargain in baseball. The Royals have tons of impressive young pitchers, most of them with true starter profiles.
Where They Will Be Next Year: It should be up, and maybe significantly so. They pick fourth overall, will likely lose nobody from their current list, and there are still plenty of scouts who think disappointing elite-level picks Mike Moustakas and Eric Hosmer have plenty of upside.

For what its worth, the rest of the AL Central shakes out like this:

  1. Cleveland - 3rd overall
  2. Minnesota - 6th overall
  3. Royals - 10th overall
  4. Tigers - 14th overall
  5. White Sox - 27th overall

Bit of a bummer seeing the Royals still behind Minnesota and still well behind Cleveland. And being that close to the Tigers isn't super awesome either.




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2010 Player Projections - Zack Greinke
RoyalsReview
KC Sports Blogs - Royals Review
Written by Royals Review   
Tuesday, March 9, 2010 2:24am
Kansas City Royals starting pitcher Zack Greinke delivers to the Seattle Mariners in the second inning of a spring training baseball game in Peoria, Ariz., Sunday, March 29, 2009. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

More photos » Tony Gutierrez - AP

11 months ago: Kansas City Royals starting pitcher Zack Greinke delivers to the Seattle Mariners in the second inning of a spring training baseball game in Peoria, Ariz., Sunday, March 29, 2009. (AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

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I figure it is about time to run the AL Cy Young award winner.

royals-review

Standard Projections












Season Type W L ERA G GS IP H R ER HR BB SO
2010 Bill James 13 12 3.32 33 33 225 211 21 57 209
2010 CHONE 12 9 3.26 30 30 193 178 76 70 15 49 188
2010 Marcel 12 8 3.24 189 174 71 68 16 51 183
2010 All Fans (126) 16 8 2.83 37 37 219 172 74 69 17 52 226
2010 Other Fans (101) 15 8 2.85 37 37 218 172 74 69 17 53 222
2010 Team Fans (25) 17 7 2.75 36 36 221 170 73 68 16 50 237

royals-review

Advanced Projections








Season Type K/9 BB/9 HR/9 AVG WHIP BABIP LOB% FIP
2010 Bill James 8.36 2.28 0.84 0.250 1.19 0.309 3.31
2010 CHONE 8.77 2.28 0.70 0.246 1.18 0.314 73.8% 2.98
2010 Marcel 8.71 2.43 0.76 0.246 1.19 0.311 76.5% 3.24
2010 All Fans (126) 9.29 2.14 0.70 0.218 1.02 0.284 75.5% 2.83
2010 Other Fans (101) 9.17 2.19 0.70 0.219 1.03 0.283 75.7% 2.88
2010 Team Fans (25) 9.65 2.04 0.65 0.214 1.00 0.285 75.0% 2.64

royals-review

Value Projections




Season Type Starting Start-IP RAR WAR
2010 All Fans (126) 63.4 219 63.4 6.8
2010 Other Fans (101) 62 218 62 6.7
2010 Team Fans (25) 68.1 221 68.1 7.5

Poll
Will Zack Greinke preform better than CHONE's projection of: 12-9, 3.26 ERA, 2.98 FIPs, 188 Ks, 8.8 K/9, 2.3 BB/9,

  3 votes | Results




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